Officials say the unraveling of Hegseth’s inner circle is cause for alarm, leaving some to wonder how the Pentagon would function in a national security crisis.

As of Monday afternoon, Polymarket, one of the leading prediction markets, said there is a 32% chance that Trump will fire Hegseth by July. This comes just hours after NPR reported that the White House is looking to replace Hegseth as the defense secretary.

President Donald Trump has privately told Pete Hegseth that he’s sticking by him, reinforcing his public support for the embattled Defense secretary who has faced calls for his ouster amid growing turmoil at the Pentagon.