inflation, May and Trump
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Both core and headline CPI came in below expectations, but economists say tariff risks and solid job growth leave the Fed in wait-and-see mode until fall.
U.S. consumer prices rose less than expected in May, influenced by cheaper gasoline but restrained by mounting import tariffs. While the Federal Reserve is likely to maintain current interest rates, underlying price pressures remain.
USD/JPY rises amid Fed hawkishness and U.S. data beats. Watch BoJ chatter, GDP revisions, and CPI numbers for the next market move.
St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem assesses a 50-50 chance of Trump's trade war triggering sustained inflation, creating uncertainty for U.S. policymakers through the summer. He suggests a potential scenario where trade and fiscal policy clarity emerges in July,
U.S. consumer prices rose slightly in May, driven by housing costs and partially offset by cheaper gasoline. Inflation's future trajectory remains uncertain amidst President Trump's tariffs. The Federal Reserve plans to maintain current interest rates,